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Background
For centuries man has been speculating on the outcome of future
events. It has even spawned new branches of mathematics. The speculation
occurs because of the differing schemas we have for how the world
works. Betting is the vehicle for settling the argument. It creates
a victor and a loser. At its simplest, it's a way of keeping score.
The ultimate answer to the challenge "put your money where your
mouth is".
The compulsion to bet covers more than 50/50 events, it covers
all events and the likelihood of it occurring. For this we developed
odds. Something will happen once in x attempts or as it is more
conventionally put (x-1)-to-1. The debate now covers what value
should x be. This is all well and good for events with few outcomes
{win, lose, draw}. For events with very many outcomes it is cumbersome.
Although you can assign an "odds" to each possible outcome, from
the punters point of view this meant placing multiple bets on
one event just to back his view against the odd setters. Even
then you can't back them all and the actually outcome could be
next to your selection. You would be right in principle, but not
win the bet. What is needed is something that rewards you for
being right in principle but not require a specific forecast.
The financial markets have been trading instruments whose value
depended on many different parameters. These are reduced to a
single figure, the price. The investor now only has to make an
up bet or a down bet, not whether a company's profit is going
to be a certain value or whether interest rates will fall. Spread
betting draws its inspiration from this i.e. it reduces all possible
football scorelines into a number representing the supremacy of
one team over the other. This allows you to pick the team you
believe is underestimated. The amount you win is related to how
right you are. So you will not be penalized for your team winning
5 - 0 as opposed to 4 - 0.
The reason this type of betting has really taken off is the thrill
of not knowing how much you're risking or how much you can win.
This is because it is the exact result that determines the make-up
of the bet, so you always have an interest in the game. Giving
you a bigger bang for your buck. This is what makes spread betting
a far more addictive form of gambling. And due to its inherent
fairness it also attracts the more sophisticated and intellectual
risk taker.
About Me
It was a wet night in 1991 and Pakistan were playing England in
the Cricket World Cup. There were five unshaven students crowded
around a radio, sipping Colin's average home-brewed beer. "How
about a spreadbet" I said. "Spreadbet, what's that?"
From that day on I've suffered the glory,the pain,the excitement
and the misery of spread betting. Of the five students, one's
an accountant, one works in WHSmith, one joined the enemy by working
for both City and Sporting Index, Colin's a teacher after making
the Burnley team as a substitute, and me, I work in the city of
London as a bond analyst. If you have any problems, question,
queries or fears, please feel free to email me at Paul@online-spread-betting.com |
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