Weekly Trading Report 21 February 2011 - Last Week's Trading Highlights
China hit the headlines at the start of the week, officially overtaking Japan as the world's second-largest economy, and underlining its importance to the global economic resurgence. Rising inflation was also in the spotlight, as core rates in China, the UK and the US increased to 4.9%, 4% and 0.2% respectively.
While the Chinese central bank can afford to raise interest rates to combat price growth, its western counterparts will be reluctant to follow suit and risk derailing the recovery. Wednesday's BoE report sought to play down expectations of an imminent interest rate hike, despite inflation now reaching double the 2% target.
In the UK, consumer confidence took a six-point dive to 47 in January according to Nationwide figures on Wednesday, while the ONS reported a 2400 increase in jobless claims in December and an unemployment rate of 7.9%. Despite this the FTSE consolidated its position above 6000.
In the US, markets were bullish with the Dow and S&P 500 closing above 12,300 and 1340 respectively on Thursday, responding to positive housing starts data, and strong manufacturing figures from New York and Philadelphia. However, Middle Eastern concerns still loom large, and with violent clashes spreading to Bahrain, markets may experience pressure if the situation develops.
In company news, FTSE shares Barclays and BAE Systems reported contrasting full-year figures on Tuesday and Thursday respectively. The former boasted an increased pre-tax profit of 32% compared to a year earlier, while the latter saw a disappointingly low year-on-year sales rise of just 1.8%.
Mining giant BHP Billiton unveiled record first-half earnings of $10.5 billion on Wednesday, up 72% from a year earlier, while peer Anglo American also released positive full-year figures on Friday with earnings of $4.98 billion. In the US, Dell almost doubled its full-year net income to $2.6 billion, up from $1.4 billion last year.
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Weekly Trading Report 21 February 2011 - The Week Ahead
Indicators
In a relatively quiet week for UK data, attention will be focused on Tuesday's public finances, Wednesday's release of the latest MPC minutes and Friday's preliminary Q4 GDP data. The last two in particular will be scrutinised for hints as to March's interest rate decision.
Economic surveys are the flavour of the week in the US with the Richmond Fed manufacturing report and the University of Michigan's influential confidence survey due on Tuesday and Friday respectively. Final-quarter GDP figures are also unveiled on a busy end to the US week.
Company Results and Reports
Following Barclays' annual results last Tuesday, the online spread betting markets will be watching Royal Bank of Scotland on Thursday and Lloyds Banking Group on Friday. It's another packed week over the Atlantic, with retailing titans Macy's, Wal-Mart and Home Depot all reporting on Tuesday, alongside home computer giant Hewlett-Packard.
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For previous weeks see below.
Note - Spread Betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and you can lose more than your initial investment, it may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you only speculate with money that you can afford to lose and that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.
'Financial Spread Betting 21 February 2011', Review by D. Jones, last update: 21-Feb-11
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