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FX Day Trading - 24 August 2011
A second day of currency calm
Hat trick today perhaps?
Could US durable goods get things going?
Cameroonian footballer Samuel Eto'o has signed for a club in Dagestan on the Caspian Sea coast.
His transfer from Inter Milan will cost €21 million, his salary will be €20 million a year and Mr Eto'o will have a troop of bodyguards to protect him from the numerous militias and insurgents who roam the republic. Only after he had signed the contract did the footballer discover that Dagestan was not just down the road from Redbridge.
There are plenty of investors who have still not discovered that Moody's has cut the credit rating of Japan from Aa2 to Aa3, lowering it to the same level as Standard & Poor's, which already had it at the equivalent AA-.
The news weakened the yen briefly early this morning but it has since made more than a full recovery, and the USD/JPY and GBP/JPY spread betting markets are lower than before the announcement.
It is only fractionally stronger though. Like almost every other currency in the top two divisions, the yen starts in London this morning within spitting distance of where it was 24 hours ago.
Sterling, the US dollar and the Australian dollar have not moved at all and most of the others have only shifted by 10 or 20 ticks. With every opportunity to take advantage of some vaguely interesting economic data, FX spread betting investors chose not to bother.
The provisional Euroland purchasing managers' indices came in at or slightly above their forecast levels while the German services PMI fell short of the mark.
At 33.4k in July, UK mortgage approvals by BBA members were predictably similar to the weak numbers seen in recent months. The CBI's Industrial Trends survey was much better than expected; orders were up by 1% in August instead of falling by the expected -13%.
ZEW's survey of German investor confidence was a shocker. All three measures were sharply lower and the main economic sentiment indicator fell from -15.1 to -37.6. Anything below zero counts as pessimism so German investment managers are clearly not looking on the bright side.
There was a degree of relief when the Richmond Fed's manufacturing index dropped from -1 to -10. It was not a positive number but it was considerably better than the -30.7 reported by the Philadelphia district a week earlier.
US new home sales and Canadian retail sales were a disappointment with falls of 0.7% and 0.1% respectively. Last night New Zealand reported an unexpected trade surplus of $129 million for July.
If spread betting investors were unable to make anything of yesterday's ecostats, they will find it no easier with today's meagre selection. From Europe there are IFO's survey of business confidence and Euroland industrial orders. From the States there are the capricious durable goods orders data. It isn't much to work with.
Currency Trading and Spread Betting carry a high level of risk to your capital and you can lose more than your initial investment, they may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you only speculate with money that you can afford to lose and that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.
The above content does not constitute investment advice, it is provided purely for information purposes and is delivered as a personal view of the writer. Neither the contributing company (or writer) nor Online-Spread-Betting.com accepts any responsibility for any use that may be made of the content.
'GBP/JPY Spread Betting Market Drops Despite Japenese Credit Downgrade', Article by Moneycorp, last update: 24-Aug-11
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