Alarms will be set on Sunday morning for the final of the Australian Open Men’s Singles and faced with familiar names in the reckoning, Sporting Index offer punters an opportunity to bet on a host of spread markets, aside from naming the winner. Buyers of the total number of games in the match might be surprised to learn that the final has not featured a five set match for 20 years, when Mats Wilander came back from 2-1 down to overcome crowd favourite Pat Cash. In the last ten years the average number of games in the final has been 34.5 games. Seven finals have gone to four sets, but interestingly, and particularly for those spread punters who closely watch the supremacy markets in-play, the eventual victor has lost the first set in every one of those seven matches. Roger Federer has won no less than three finals in Melbourne and two of those came in straight sets.
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Tennis Spreads - 23 Jan 09
The Australian Open is in full swing in Melbourne and is shaping up for a very exciting second week. The ladies competition looks wide open this year, with any one of several players in the reckoning. Before she was knocked out by Suarez-Navarro, Venus Williams was marginal favourite on the outright index which just goes to show that going against the favourites can sometimes be a winning tactic. It is buyers of younger sister Serena’s spread, at 23-26 points (60pts to tournament winner, 40pts runner up, 20pts for losing semi-finalists, 10pts losing quarters, 5pts for last 16), who will be encouraged by a glance at the tournament history. Buyers may conclude that it is simply Serena’s turn to win – since 2003 she has won in every odd numbered year, winning the title in 2003, 2005 and 2007. Other contenders include Jelena Jankovich (22-25pts), Dinara Safina (16-19pts) and Elena Dementieva (13-16pts) – spread bettors with a wager on any of these Eastern European women might be interested to know that in the nine women’s finals since 2000, an American has emerged victorious on six occasions.
In the men’s competition, Andy Murray has secured his seat at tennis’s top table after a great start to 2009 and the outright index reflects this, making him second favourite at 27-30 points behind Federer (28-31pts). Buyers of any of the top four’s outright spread (Nadal and Djokovic completing the quartet) will be pleased to know that the Australian Open rarely throws up any surprises in terms of finalists, with only two winners since 1990 who had not reached the final of at least one of the three non-clay Slams the previous year. Tsonga is the other player who can make the final according to this rule, as eager buyers of his index at 9-12 will already have acknowledged. His greatest hurdle, and that of those spread bettors cheering him on, will be a possible quarter final meeting with Murray.
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Tennis Spreads - 3 Sep 08
Nadal and Federer are once again hot favourites to contest Sunday’s US Open Tennis Final, although Britain’s Andy Murray will be hoping to have a small say in that! Sporting Index are offering spread bettors a market on the ‘Match Distances’ for the US Open (100pts= five sets, 50pts=four sets, 0pts=three sets) and there are sure to be plenty of buyers if the big two meet again. Nadal and Federer have met previously eighteen times (Nadal now leads 12-6) and interestingly, nine of those matches have gone further than three sets.
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Tennis Spreads - 4 Jul 08
There have already been a number of upsets at Wimbledon which will have undoubtedly scuppered many punters’ bets. However, at the time of writing, those spread bettors amongst you who have bought Federer and Nadal in the men’s singles tournament index will be sitting pretty and hoping for a repeat of the last two finals. Federer is attempting to become the first player since William Renshaw in 1886 to win six consecutive men’s singles titles at Wimbledon and he has made it to the semi finals in typically clinical fashion; failing to concede a set in his opening five games. If the best two players in the tournament, as expected, make it to Sunday’s final, then first set games punters are going to have the tricky decision whether to buy or sell the spread. Two years ago, the Swiss maestro steamed ahead with a 6-0 opening set win, which will obviously please sellers. However, last year he just got through a tense first-set tie-break, before winning the epic 5-set contest.
These two have only met in major finals at the French and Wimbledon, but they have done in all of the last five at both venues (before potentially this one). Nadal holds the advantage due to his three Roland Garros wins, but Federer has proved unbeatable on grass in recent years and his winning streak on this surface is now an incredible 64 matches. Sporting Index punters will undoubtedly find it hard to desert the champion, but buyers of Federer in the final win index will be concerned that each time he has faced Nadal in Paris, the defeat has got heavier, whilst each win at Wimbledon has been more difficult. The game looks very difficult to call, but those who like a spread bet will be interested in buying or selling total games in the final. Nadal underlined his dominance on clay last month, with Federer only winning four games, which led to an extremely low final games make-up of 22. Sellers of total games will be concerned that although the three finals at Roland Garros only average 32.3 games, the two at Wimbledon have averaged 46.5, with 52 in last year’s epic. Buyers will be further buoyed by four of the nine sets played between these two in Wimbledon finals going to a tie-break.
It’s the turn of the ladies 24 hours earlier and it looks like we could have another sense of déjà vu in the final, with both of the Williams sisters progressing comfortably to the semis. These two have won six of the last eight titles here and with hotpots such as Sharapova, Ivanovic and Jankovic going out in the early rounds, buyers of either of them in the Sporting Index win index will have been feeling confident for quite some time. Venus holds the best record at Wimbledon, winning four titles compared with her sister’s two. However, the betting public should also be aware that in six grand slam finals between the two, the older sister has only won once (the US Open in 2001). Serena has won both times they’ve met in the final at Wimbledon, which will please those buying her in the match index.
Venus won the title last year, beating French challenger Marion Bartoli 6-4, 6-1, which ironically was very similar to Serena’s last final appearance at the All-England Club, when she was beaten 6-1, 6-4 by Maria Sharapova in 2004. Sellers of total games will be hoping for a repeat of these finals and will be glad to hear that only two of the sisters’ six final meetings have gone to a final set. However, three of the last five Wimbledon finals have gone all the way, two involving Venus, and buyers of total games will be hoping that Saturday’s final is a repeat of the 2005 contest between Venus and Lindsay Davenport. The game was very tight and Williams eventually came out on top after an incredible 4-6, 7-6, 9-7 victory – one of the longest ladies finals ever played at Wimbledon and probably the most volatile spread betting final ever seen.
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Tennis Spreads - 30 May 08
Firstly, the men’s singles, and punters who have bought Rafael Nadal in the outright index will be hoping the Spanish superstar can make it four French Opens in a row. He would be the first player to achieve this since Bjorn Borg completed his fourth straight victory in 1981.
Roger Federer is desperate to achieve what Pete Sampras couldn’t and win all four majors, but he has been beaten by his old adversary Nadal in four sets the last two years. It’s also interesting to note that 10 of the last 11 winners have come from Spain, Argentina and Brazil.
Punters who like to Buy Total Games in the final will be interested to learn that only one of the last nine finals has been settled in straight sets. However, sellers of total games will also take heart that there are regularly very one-sided sets. The opening set in four of the last six finals has either finished 6-0 or 6-1, whilst there have only been two tie-breaks in the last six finals.
If Nadal is the male darling of Roland Garros, then Justine Henin was undoubtedly the female equivalent. Before retiring earlier this month, she had also won three straight French Opens and four in total. Monica Seles was the last winner of three straight French titles, but this year there will be a new name on the trophy. Whilst the men’s tournament hasn’t seen many straight set victories in recent years, the women’s competition is completely different, which will please sellers of total games in the final. Seven of the past eight finals have been won in straight sets and in four of the last five, the runner-up only managed to register four games or fewer. However, sellers are advised to tread carefully as you only have to go back to 2001 when Jennifer Capriati beat Kim Clijsters 1-6, 6-4, 12-10.
'Tennis Spread Betting', Guide by D. Jones, last update: 30-Jan-09
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